It's groundhog day in the White House, as Donald Trump reverts back to all out war with Iran, bombing essential targets and threatening escalation if Iran refuses to open the Strait of Hormuz. Is ther
Hey guys, I love your mad analytical talents, but let’s not overthink this one. Trump is insane, will not cry uncle or back off for more than a day or two EVER. He must be removed to end this conflict.
As for oil we heading for a massive recession, at the moment the oil industry is manipulating prices to make any decline look like a small bang. But Trump is driving the car and if Iran doesn't surrender we will end up driving into a wall at 50 mph so everyone should tell Trump to STOP!!
This whole administration is a dog and pony show to entertain us while he picks our pockets. Already pocketed 2.2 billion in the first few months of his reign. Nice "work" if you can get it. Man never worked a day in his life. Always had someone else carrying his water and to blame his failures on.
Will the media please give up on the MOU already? Drop it. There is no MOU. It was dumb as a box of rocks to begin with. " here's a piece of paper to agree to talk about talking if we stop shooting at each other right now " you know Iran was never going to honor anything about it. If they wanted peace, they would have worked towards it and negotiated. Negotiation means no one actually gets what they really want but they get something and then walk away to complain about it for 60 years. When they refuse to to actually participate in actual negotiations, agree then disagree over and over again, that isn't progress. That's called stalling, and it's for a reason. All Iran has to do is clear mines and allow the free passage of ships and let businesses go back to usual. We're allies of the GCC, there's an agreement, and it is what it is. Iran made the choice to fire upon those allied nations and that was a choice too. They're a bad neighbor. They've been a bad neighbor. None of the Gulf nations actually like Iran, but they don't have a choice in putting up with them. The US has relationships with literally everyone around them. Can anyone not see that Iran is maybe the problem child of
cars run on 'sweet' oil. the effect of the war has been hidden by drawing down on sweet reserves which are steadily falling. the Rest of the economy requires 'sour' oil which is used to make aerial fuel, diesel, and fertilizer. when that runs out the poop hits the fan. your analyst doesn't seem to know this.
It occurs to me that maybe the greatest tragedy at least so far of this conflict is the opportunity that has been lost for the Iranian people. Just think about what might’ve been accomplished, although on a longer timeframe if we had coordinated with our allies, an overall approach of sanctions kinetic force when it was needed and behind the scenes preparation and coordination with the right people within Iran, and then coordinated the initiation of possibilities. Instead of that we have the result of the daily mood changes of Donald Trump. We focused as we should on the hardship that one person has now imposed on the whole world, but let’s not leave the Iranians out of that. Not the government, but the people of Iran, or at least a large proportion of them.
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Kharj Island - 35km offshore from Iran - 100km of Iranian coastline overlooking it - Anyone heard of Gallipoli?
Hormuz - 300-380km of Iranian coastline overlooking it - Can that be policed by B52s at 30,000ft?
If the US thinks it can put troops into there and the Iranians won't drop two ton missile warheads on their heads because Iranian troops are in close proximity they are going to be in for a nasty shock. That's the thing about existential wars. If you have to sacrifice your guys in order to hurt the enemy the calculus becomes real simple.
On a completely unrelated topic, I grew up in the country in East Tennessee in the 50s and 60s and I remember all the folks that I grew up with would say prize instead of pry. It’s really cool to hear him use the same word the same way. It’s always surprised me how many of those similarities remain and honestly, it saddens me that they’re disappearing. The religious aren’t that many people left who talk the way my grandfather did for example. So basically when I’m nostalgic for authentic hillbilly dialogue, I guess I have to listen to British podcasts
Guys, I'm starting to think that this quagmire war in the Middle East won't be over in a few days
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Hormuz - 300-380km of Iranian coastline overlooking it - Can that be policed by B52s at 30,000ft?